Germany – Ecuador 0-0 or bookmaker's debt 0-2
Germany are already guaranteed to finish first, so I wouldn't even be surprised if they hand Ecuador three points to make sure Ecuador qualify for the playoffs from third place. I expect the Germans to field a partially rotated squad to avoid injuries and yellow cards.
That's why Ecuador +1.5 at 1.55 looks interesting, especially since Ecuador are generally a defensive, low-scoring team. If both sides were fully motivated to win, then the bookmaker's projected 0-2 scoreline would make sense. But Ecuador desperately need points, so I wouldn't rule out another "bookmaker special" involving top national teams.
Interestingly, the bookmakers are being cautious with Ecuador's team total, setting it at 1.5 rather than 2.0.
Since this match could be one of those semi-arranged situations—where everything appears fair but everyone understands that neither side wan
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